Ripple and Stellar Face Deepening Pullback as Bearish Technicals Mount on XRP and XLM

Weakening derivatives leverage and persistent sell-side volume keep XRP pinned near $1.25 and push XLM under $0.162, limiting recovery prospects across both altcoins.

Selling pressure intensified across cryptocurrency trading desks on Tuesday, leaving major cross-border payment altcoins struggling beneath heavy technical barriers. Both XRP and XLM extended downward moves as a combination of leaning derivatives positioning, adverse on-chain distribution, and stacked moving average resistances capped upside traction. The defensive action takes place against an uneasy backdrop across digital assets, where broader market appetite continues to cool.

Derivatives Imbalance and On-Chain Sell Orders Dominate
Positioning data from CoinGlass highlights eroding speculative enthusiasm for Ripple and Stellar. Long-to-short ratios on Tuesday landed at 0.90 for XRP and 0.98 for XLM. Because readings below 1.00 reflect an environment where short positioning outweighs leveraged long commitments, the metric underscores active positioning for further price degradation across derivative exchanges.

Network intelligence compiled by CryptoQuant confirms that cautious behavior extends directly into underlying order books. In both the spot and futures arenas for XRP, large whale transactions and sell-side dominance remain prevailing features. Furthermore, spot trading activity indicates heating conditions that emphasize a defensively tilted bias among Ripple market participants. Stellar mirrors this dynamic, with spot and futures venues tracking clear seller dominance that keeps sentiment around XLM depressed.

XRP Technical Landscape: Resistance Clusters and Floor Levels
Price action for XRP settled near $1.251 on Tuesday, maintaining an immediate downward trajectory beneath its primary exponential moving averages. The token remains compressed below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs positioned at $1.336, $1.324, and $1.365, respectively. Adding to that overhead supply is a downward trendline boundary near $1.285 alongside horizontal ceiling pressure at $1.3000. Live market indicators show the 14-period Relative Strength Index holding near 37, a level pointing toward muted directional momentum rather than an oversold rebound condition. Concurrently, the MACD indicator sits negative at -0.04 against a -0.03 signal reading, confirming that sellers maintain short-term control.

Any bullish attempt faces initial friction at the $1.285 trendline boundary, followed closely by the $1.300 horizontal hurdle. Clearing those markers would lead into the dense EMA cluster spanning $1.324 to $1.336, with the 200-day EMA at $1.365 presenting a structural ceiling ahead of steeper targets at $1.540 and $1.900. On the downside, interim defense appears at $1.160. Should selling accelerate, the psychological and structural floor at $1.000 stands as the key zone where spot buyers would need to emerge to avert an extended decline within its 52-week band of $0.9884 to $1.68.

Stellar Slides Past $0.162 as Correction Deepens
Price movement in XLM reflects similar technical deterioration, dropping beneath $0.162 to confirm a widening corrective cycle. For upward retracements, initial supply aligns at the horizontal resistance of $0.173. Beyond that threshold, a dense cluster of moving averages at $0.183, $0.185, and $0.189 creates structural friction, while an established macro ceiling waits near $0.234.

To the downside, short-term support rests around the immediate trading region near $0.161. A more critical line of structural demand sits lower at $0.153, where the prior swing low and foundational trendline anchor converge. A sustained session close below $0.153 would dismantle immediate price stabilization, potentially unlocking a much deeper leg of downside expansion.

Broader Cryptocurrency Sentiment Remains Constrained
The sluggish tone across XRP and XLM mirrors hesitation across major benchmark assets. Bitcoin has entered an uncertain phase ahead of US midterm elections, occurring just one week after a $6 billion security breach at Binance. Historically, congressional election cycles have exerted downward pressure not only on the sitting president's party but also on Bitcoin valuations. Bitcoin dropped beneath $78,000 on Monday following four consecutive weekly losses, accompanied by flagging institutional interest as spot ETFs recorded net outflows exceeding $202 million over the prior week.

While Bitcoin subsequently hovered slightly above $78,000 relying on its 100-day EMA support, Ethereum showed attempts to steady near $2,300 while remaining technically constrained. In contrast, Pi Network traded slightly firmer on Monday to challenge an upper trendline resistance. Underpinning the entire complex, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index retreated to 36 from 43 a week earlier, verifying a decisive shift away from risk-tolerant trading behavior.

What this means for you
The ongoing technical deterioration and bearish positioning directly affect portfolio valuations and entry strategies for digital asset market participants.

• For Crypto Investors: Trading below critical moving averages caps near-term rebound potential across major altcoins. Anyone planning spot accumulation should monitor structural breakout levels rather than trying to catch falling momentum.
• For Derivatives Traders: Long-to-short ratios dropping below parity signal that short sellers currently control market tempo. Maintaining high-leverage long positions requires strict stop-loss discipline to avoid unexpected liquidation cascades.
• For XRP Holders: Prices hover near $1.25 with primary structural defense situated at $1.160 and $1.000. Watching price action near these key support thresholds will be crucial to mitigating deeper downside exposure.
• For XLM Holders: With the asset breaking below $0.162, the next major historical floor rests at $0.153. A confirmed breakdown beneath that anchor would likely trigger accelerated corrective selling.

Why this happened
The deepening pullback in XRP and XLM stems directly from technical rejections, unfavorable derivative order flows, and broader macro weakness across the crypto space.

• Bearish Derivatives and On-Chain Imbalance: Sub-parity long-to-short ratios alongside visible sell-side whale dominance across spot and futures venues have exerted persistent downward drag. The lack of organic spot absorption has left both assets vulnerable to steady liquidation.
• Sub-EMA Compression: Sustained trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages continues to signal technical exhaustion. Moving average clusters act as dense overhead supply zones that repel recovery attempts.
• Broader Market Headwinds: Lingering sentiment fallout from the $6 billion Binance exploit combined with historical US midterm election seasonality has dampened risk appetite. Institutional pullbacks, highlighted by over $202 million in weekly spot ETF outflows, have further pressured liquidity.

Questions & Answers

1. What price was XRP trading at on Tuesday?
XRP traded around $1.251 on Tuesday, maintaining an overall bearish bias.

2. What were the long-to-short ratios for XRP and XLM?
According to CoinGlass, the long-to-short ratio registered at 0.90 for XRP and 0.98 for XLM, both reflecting bearish sentiment below 1.00.

3. What are the primary support levels for XRP?
Immediate support sits at $1.160, followed by a deeper structural base around the $1.000 mark.

4. Which price level represents critical breakdown risk for XLM?
A sustained breach below the prior swing low and trendline anchor at $0.153 could initiate an extended bearish slide.

5. What major security event recently hit the crypto market?
Binance suffered a major security breach involving approximately $6 billion.

6. How much capital was pulled from Bitcoin spot ETFs last week?
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows exceeding $202 million over the past week.

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