{
  "type": "article",
  "title": "Yen Holds Near 153.76 as Dollar Loses Momentum After CPI Jump",
  "summary": "US core inflation rose 0.3% in August, but the Dollar could not hold its initial gain and USD/JPY was 153.76 at the close-bell reading. Expectations of a Bank of Japan rate increase next week supported the Yen.",
  "content": "At the 2026-09-11 close-bell reading, USD/JPY stood at 153.76, with the previous close at 153.57 and a modest 0.12% gain. The more important move happened earlier: the pair jumped above 154.50 immediately after the US inflation release, then surrendered that advance within hours as the Yen recovered.\n\nThis reversal left the currency pair near the bottom portion of its recent range after a steep retreat from the mid-155s during the week. The Dollar's first response to inflation data proved short-lived, while the Yen regained strength.\n\nJapanese price data and BOJ expectations lifted the Yen\nHigher Japanese PPI figures encouraged a more hawkish reassessment of the Bank of Japan and supplied fresh support for the Yen. During the Asian session, USD/JPY stayed on the weaker side toward 154.00. The Dollar retained its gains from the previous session while traders waited for the new American inflation numbers, which kept the fall from going further.\n\nThe prospect of a rate increase by the Bank of Japan next week remained an important source of support for the Yen. That outlook helped the currency absorb the Dollar's initial inflation reaction and kept USD/JPY under pressure even after the early spike.\n\nUS inflation data gave traders two signals\nThe United States (US) Consumer Price Index was 3.4% year on year in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The reading was unchanged from July's 3.4% and matched market expectations. On a monthly basis, prices advanced 0.4%, a clear acceleration from the 0.1% increase recorded one month earlier.\n\nThe core CPI figure, which removes food and energy, climbed 0.3% for the month and came in above the 0.2% forecast. The annual core rate, however, slipped to 2.4% from 2.5%. That combination gave the Dollar an early lift but also limited the durability of the move, because persistent monthly pressure was paired with easing annual core inflation.\n\nTraders therefore faced a mixed picture rather than a simple hot-inflation story. The 0.4% monthly gain and 0.3% core monthly increase pointed to continued price pressure, while the decline in annual core inflation from 2.5% to 2.4% reduced the case for a stronger Dollar reaction. The result was a quick spike that failed to become a sustained trend.\n\nLive indicators show the larger downtrend is intact\nLive technical data placed USD/JPY below the 20-day EMA at 157.16, the 50-day EMA at 158.80 and the 200-day EMA at 157.70. The pair was also under the 50-day SMA at 159.84 and the 200-day SMA at 158.41, so the long-term trend remained negative. EMA50 is above EMA200, which the live series labels a golden cross, but the price has not confirmed a broader reversal.\n\nThe 14-period RSI stood at 27, inside oversold territory. MACD was -1.58 against a -1.01 signal, with a -0.56 histogram, leaving momentum on the bearish side. ADX(14) reached 48, showing a market with a defined trend, while the stochastic fast line was 12 and the signal line was 9.\n\nThese readings come from the 2026-09-11 live market data and describe the close-bell session. ATR(14) was 1.55, which serves as the daily volatility estimate and the stop-loss buffer.\n\n• Bollinger bands: Bollinger(20,2) spanned 153.14 to 162.52, with a midpoint of 157.83. The price stayed inside the bands but well below the midpoint.\n• Key levels: The pivot was 153.87, followed by R1 at 154.51 and R2 at 155.25. S1 was 153.12 and S2 was 152.49, with 20-day support near 152.90 and resistance near 160.38.\n• Range and volume: The 52-week range ran from 146.61 to 163.98. Volume was 1.00x the 20-day average.\n\nAn oversold RSI can warn that selling has become stretched, but it does not by itself confirm a bottom. With MACD still bearish and price below every listed moving average, any recovery would initially look corrective. A loss of support could extend the decline, while a sustained break above resistance would be required to reduce selling pressure.\n\nOther markets reflected the same uncertainty\nIn Friday's Asian trading, AUD/USD found stability around the middle of the 0.7100 area. The pair halted the previous day's steep slide, which had reached a low not seen in more than one week. Thursday's August PPI reading renewed expectations for a Fed rate increase and lifted the US Dollar, putting pressure on the Australian currency.\n\nExpectations of a tougher stance from the RBA limited the Aussie's losses. At the same time, traders favoring the US Dollar waited for the American consumer inflation figures before placing new bets.\n\nGold recovered on Friday and posted solid gains, bringing the $4,440 per troy ounce level back into focus. It also erased Thursday's decline as the Dollar moved between advances and retreats near the week's end.\n\nWhat traders will watch next\nThe immediate test is whether USD/JPY can defend 153.12 and recover the 153.87 pivot. A move above 154.51 would challenge the first resistance, while 155.25 and 160.38 remain larger ceilings. On the downside, 152.90 and 152.49 are the next support zones.\n\nThe next move will depend on how Bank of Japan expectations develop, how the Dollar reacts after the inflation release and whether the oversold technical picture triggers a rebound. Until price climbs back above the main moving averages, the broader setup remains cautious.\n\nWhat this means for you\nThe biggest practical effect is on currency conversion, travel budgets and positions tied to USD/JPY, because Yen strength can change the rate available to readers.\n\n• Exchange rate: USD/JPY was 153.76 at the close-bell reading, 0.12% above the previous close of 153.57. Anyone buying Dollars or paying in Yen should check the latest quote and spread before transacting.\n• Trend risk: RSI is 27 and price is below the main moving averages, so the Yen side looks stronger. The oversold reading still leaves room for a short Dollar rebound, making a one-way assumption risky.\n• Levels to watch: The pivot is 153.87, with first resistance at 154.51 and first support at 153.12. Traders can use these levels as directional clues, but no single level guarantees an outcome.\n• Volatility and event risk: ATR is 1.55, which estimates daily movement. Expectations of a Bank of Japan rate increase next week are supporting the Yen, so position holders should monitor stop-loss placement and fresh levels.\n\nWhy this happened\nThe direct drivers of Yen strength were expectations of a Bank of Japan rate increase next week and higher Japanese PPI data. US inflation sent a mixed message, giving the Dollar an early lift but not enough support to sustain it.\n\n• US inflation: Annual CPI was 3.4%, while the monthly reading rose to 0.4% and core monthly inflation reached 0.3%. The annual core rate fell from 2.5% to 2.4%, limiting the case for a stronger Dollar response.\n• Japanese PPI: Higher Japanese producer-price data encouraged a more hawkish reassessment of the Bank of Japan. That gave traders a reason to support the Yen ahead of a possible rate increase next week.\n• Previous session: Thursday's August PPI report strengthened Fed rate-hike expectations and lifted the Dollar, which weighed on AUD/USD. Hawkish RBA expectations limited the Australian Dollar's losses.\n• Next phase: The Dollar kept overnight gains ahead of the US consumer inflation release, while USD/JPY stayed weaker toward 154.00 in the Asian session. Attention now turns to Bank of Japan expectations and technical levels around 153.12, 153.87 and 154.51.\n\nQuestions & Answers\n\n1. Why did USD/JPY give back its early gain?\nThe pair moved above 154.50 after the US inflation release, but Yen strength erased the advance within hours. Expectations of a Bank of Japan rate increase next week supported the Yen.\n\n2. What did the August US inflation data show?\nAnnual CPI was 3.4%, matching July and market expectations. Monthly inflation was 0.4%, core monthly inflation was 0.3% versus a 0.2% forecast, and annual core inflation eased to 2.4% from 2.5%.\n\n3. Where was USD/JPY at the live close-bell reading?\nIt was 153.76 on 2026-09-11, 0.12% above the previous close of 153.57. The pair had earlier moved above 154.50 after the release.\n\n4. What do the technical indicators show?\nRSI(14) is 27 and oversold, while MACD is -1.58 versus a -1.01 signal with a -0.56 histogram. Price is below the main moving averages, so the long-term trend remains negative.\n\n5. Which USD/JPY levels matter now?\nThe pivot is 153.87, with resistance at 154.51 and 155.25. Support is at 153.12 and 152.49, with 20-day support near 152.90 and resistance near 160.38.\n\n6. What happened to AUD/USD and Gold?\nAUD/USD steadied around the middle of the 0.7100 area after reaching a low not seen in more than one week. Gold recovered and brought the $4,440 per troy ounce level back into focus.\n\n7. What are the 52-week range and volume readings?\nThe 52-week range is 146.61 to 163.98. Volume is 1.00x the 20-day average.",
  "url": "https://trendkia.com/en/market/ameriki-mahngai-ka-asara-chhnta-to-yen-ne-snbhali-raphtara-usd-jpy-153-76-ke-kariba-31273",
  "category": "Market",
  "publishedAt": "2026-09-11",
  "tags": [
    "USD/JPY",
    "Japanese Yen",
    "US Dollar",
    "US inflation",
    "Bank of Japan",
    "Australian Dollar",
    "Gold",
    "forex market",
    "finance"
  ],
  "language": "en",
  "site": "TrendKia"
}