# Rajasthan's Weak Monsoon Set to Revive After July 20, Rain Likely in These Districts Today

> The weather department says Rajasthan will stay mostly dry for the next six to seven days, though light rain is likely today in parts of the Jaipur, Bharatpur and Bikaner divisions. A fresh western disturbance and cyclonic circulation are expected to revive the monsoon after July 20.

**Type:** article · **Category:** Rajasthan · **Published:** 2026-07-16 · **Source:** TrendKia
**Canonical:** https://trendkia.com/en/rajasthan/20-julai-ke-bada-rajasthan-men-phira-sakriya-hoga-manasuna-aja-ina-jilon-men-barisha-ke-asara-8011 · **Language:** English
**Tags:** Rajasthan Weather, Monsoon Update, IMD, Jaipur Rain, Western Disturbance, Dust Storm, Kharif Crops, Bay of Bengal

Rajasthan's sluggish monsoon looks ready to shift gears. The latest update from the weather office says rain activity could pick up slightly in parts of the state from July 16, though real relief is still a few days away. Most of the state will stay largely dry for the next six to seven days, and only a handful of districts are likely to see any showers in that window. Weeks of a weak monsoon have already left fields short of moisture and residents dealing with sticky, humid heat, so even this modest forecast counts as welcome news for people waiting on proper rain. For a state that depends heavily on a healthy monsoon spell for its farms and its drinking water reserves, even a small shift in the forecast is being watched closely by officials and residents alike.

## Where Light Rain Is Likely Today
According to the Jaipur Meteorological Centre, light rain or drizzle is possible today in parts of the Udaipur and Jodhpur divisions, along with the districts of Sriganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, Sikar, Jhunjhunu and Alwar. Scattered rain is also expected at some spots in the Jaipur, Bharatpur and Bikaner divisions. The Met Centre has been clear that there are no signs of widespread or heavy rain anywhere right now, meaning today's weather will mostly bring limited relief rather than a real downpour. Districts left off that list should expect another day of heat and humidity, since monsoon activity there remains extremely weak for now. Put simply, residents outside today's list of districts will likely have to wait a few more days before their turn comes.

## Why the Weather Will Change After July 20
The weather department points to two systems behind this mild uptick. First, an upper air cyclonic circulation is sitting over north Gujarat and adjoining southwest Rajasthan, at a height of 3.1 to 5.8 kilometres above sea level, pulling in moisture and setting up conditions for rain. Second, a fresh western disturbance is expected to become active over northwest India from July 19. Western disturbances are weather systems that typically bring sudden shifts to north India's weather, often triggering rain or stronger winds. Once both systems start acting together, the monsoon could regain strength across Rajasthan after July 20. The department also expects moisture streaming in from the Bay of Bengal during this period to give the monsoon fresh energy, gradually spreading rain activity across a wider part of the state in the days that follow.

## The Monsoon Trough and the Bay of Bengal Low
Per IMD, the monsoon trough currently active at sea level runs through Jammu, Dehradun, Shahjahanpur, Basti, Patna and Bankura. From there it continues toward the northwest Bay of Bengal and passes through the centre of a low pressure area formed off the north Odisha, West Bengal coast, before heading toward the east central Bay of Bengal. This system's effect will be felt most strongly in eastern and central India, where rain activity should continue steadily. Rajasthan sits somewhat outside the trough's main path, so its impact here stays limited for now. In other words, the monsoon's main current is currently favouring eastern India, and it will take a little more time before Rajasthan sees the full benefit of that moisture reaching this far west.

## Districts That Could See Good Rain Between July 21 and 24
The weather department says that if the fresh system building over the Bay of Bengal moves toward central India, the monsoon could become active again in Rajasthan after July 20. Early signs of that should show up around July 21, when rain activity is expected to pick up in Jaipur, Didwana-Kuchaman, Kota, Bharatpur, Udaipur, Sriganganagar and Hanumangarh. That would be followed by good rainfall between July 22 and 24 across several districts including Jodhpur, Bikaner, Nagaur, Ajmer, Jaipur, Kota, Udaipur, Phalodi and Jaisalmer, meaning both western and eastern parts of Rajasthan stand to benefit from this spell. The department has, however, been upfront that this forecast is based on the current track of these weather systems, so the dates and areas involved could change if that track shifts. Readers should treat it as a likely trend rather than a fixed schedule, since forecasts of this kind can move by a day or two either way as the systems evolve.

## Dust Storm Warning for Western Rajasthan
Alongside the rain outlook, a separate warning has been issued for western Rajasthan. The weather department says dust-laden winds of 30 to 40 kilometres per hour could blow through the region on July 16, 17 and 20. No severe or red alert level warning has been issued for this at present, so it falls within the range of routine seasonal weather. Even so, people in open areas and farmers working in their fields are being advised to stay alert, since strong dusty winds can reduce visibility and disrupt normal activity. Drivers on highways in the region should also exercise a bit of extra caution during these days, as visibility can drop suddenly when dust storms kick up, and loose debris can become a hazard in open stretches of road.

## What This Means for Farmers
Weather experts believe that if the expected good rain does arrive between July 21 and 24, kharif crops stand to gain the most. Fields are badly in need of moisture right now, and the prolonged weak monsoon had raised concerns about sowing and crop growth being affected in several areas. Should the rain play out as forecast, it will not just help farmers but also bring ordinary people some relief from the rising heat and humidity that has built up over recent weeks. For now, Rajasthan's weather is in something of a holding pattern, with the next four to five days staying mostly dry before the bigger shift expected after July 20. Taken together, the coming week could prove to be a turning point for the state's weather, provided these systems move as currently expected and the Bay of Bengal system tracks the way forecasters currently anticipate it will.

## What this means for you
- **Across India:** Moisture flowing in from the Bay of Bengal and a fresh western disturbance could influence the broader weather pattern over north India, affecting conditions in several states in the coming days.
- **In Rajasthan:** Farmers and residents in districts like Jaipur, Bharatpur, Bikaner, Udaipur, Jodhpur, Kota, Ajmer and Jaisalmer could see relief from heat and humidity along with much-needed moisture for kharif crops after July 20, while people in western Rajasthan should stay cautious around dust-laden winds on July 16, 17 and 20 while travelling or working in fields.

## Questions & Answers

### 1. Which districts in Rajasthan could see rain today?
Today, light rain or drizzle is possible in parts of the Udaipur and Jodhpur divisions, plus Sriganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, Sikar, Jhunjhunu, Alwar, Bharatpur, and some spots in the Jaipur and Bikaner divisions, while the rest of the state stays dry.

### 2. When will the monsoon become active again in Rajasthan?
The weather department expects the monsoon to strengthen again after July 20, driven by moisture from the Bay of Bengal and a new western disturbance.

### 3. Which districts could get good rain between July 21 and 24?
Around July 21, Jaipur, Didwana-Kuchaman, Kota, Bharatpur, Udaipur, Sriganganagar and Hanumangarh could see more rain, followed by good rainfall between July 22 and 24 in Jodhpur, Bikaner, Nagaur, Ajmer, Jaipur, Kota, Udaipur, Phalodi and Jaisalmer.

### 4. When could dust storms hit western Rajasthan?
The weather department says dust-laden winds of 30 to 40 kilometres per hour could blow through western Rajasthan on July 16, 17 and 20, though no severe warning has been issued yet.

### 5. What weather systems are behind the monsoon's expected revival?
An upper air cyclonic circulation over north Gujarat and southwest Rajasthan, combined with a new western disturbance becoming active from July 19, are together expected to strengthen the monsoon after July 20.

### 6. Which cities does the monsoon trough pass through?
The active monsoon trough runs through Jammu, Dehradun, Shahjahanpur, Basti, Patna and Bankura toward the Bay of Bengal, with its main effect felt in eastern and central India.

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