Ethereum Tumbles 16% in October Following Unprecedented $1.61 Billion Spot ETF OutflowsCrypto
3 Nov 2026, 3:00 am (1 min ago)· 0

Ethereum Tumbles 16% in October Following Unprecedented $1.61 Billion Spot ETF Outflows

A historic $1.61 billion capital retreat from US spot ETFs and a massive exchange breach dragged Ethereum down over 16 percent during October, leaving the asset consolidating near critical multi-week price floors.

ETH━SMA20 ━SMA50 · RSI · MACD
Candles + SMA20/50 · RSI(14) · MACD(12,26,9) with buy/sell signals — live from Yahoo

Technical Analysis2 Nov 2026

Moving AveragesEMA 20 / 50 / 200

What it is

Exponential Moving Averages smooth price to reveal the trend over the short (20), medium (50) and long (200) term. Price above them and stacked upward is an uptrend; below them and stacked down is a downtrend.

Where it stands now

Ethereum trades at $2,247 versus EMA20 $2,356, EMA50 $2,414, EMA200 $2,320.

Possible move ahead

Rallies likely stall near EMA20 ($2,356).

RSIRelative Strength Index (14)

What it is

RSI is a 0–100 momentum gauge of recent gains versus losses. Above 70 is overbought (stretched), below 30 oversold (beaten down), and 50 is the neutral line.

Where it stands now

Ethereum's RSI is 33.

Possible move ahead

Watch a push above 60 or a slide under 40.

StochasticStochastic Oscillator (14,3)

What it is

The Stochastic compares the close to its recent range. Above 80 is overbought, below 20 oversold; a crossover of the fast line and signal line near those extremes is an early reversal cue.

Where it stands now

Ethereum's fast line / signal line read 21/24.

Possible move ahead

Watch for a cross near 20 or 80.

October proved to be a challenging stretch for Ethereum (ETH), as the prominent smart-contract cryptocurrency suffered a 16.06% retreat, snapping a three-month streak of consecutive gains according to market tracker Coinglass. The steep slump also established the digital asset's third straight negative performance for the month of October. In ongoing market sessions, live market figures show the token trading at $2,247, reflecting a 1.14% pullback from its prior close of $2,273, while traversing an annual 52-week band bounded by $1,507 and $2,805 on 1.09 times standard 20-day trading volume.

Institutional Products Suffer Unprecedented Capital Withdrawal

The primary downward catalyst for the token originated in institutional investment vehicles. US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds endured their steepest monthly net redemption cycle since their market debut in July 2024, shedding an aggregate $1.61 billion as reported by SoSoValue. Capital allocators exhibited intense caution, producing merely three isolated trading sessions of modest inflows across the entire thirty-one-day span. By contrast, spot Bitcoin (BTC) counterparts navigated the same period with $515 million in net redemptions, highlighting disproportionate institutional liquidation out of the leading altcoin.

Also read

Muted Market Reaction to Massive Exchange Security Breach

Price action was further pressured by security concerns following a reported $6 billion exploit on Binance, yet the underlying market absorbed the news with remarkable composure compared to previous historical precedents. Thomas Lee, Chairman of digital asset balance-sheet firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR), contrasted the episode with the February 2025 cyber intrusion into Bybit, where DPRK hackers extracted $1.5 billion in customer assets, triggering an immediate 8% single-day plunge in ETH followed by a 20% drawdown within seven days.

Addressing the comparatively modest drop following the latest platform vulnerability, Thomas Lee remarked,

"By contrast, since the Binance theft was disclosed, ETH went down 4%."
He emphasized that investor response has proven substantially more insulated, despite the financial scale of the incident being roughly fourfold larger than the earlier attack.

Lee attributed this downside containment to several systemic buffers: the exchange maintaining substantial financial reserves capable of absorbing customer losses, the notable absence of cascading liquidations across decentralized finance architectures that aggravated the prior incident, rapid industry-wide coordination to immobilize compromised tokens, and the broad macroeconomic backdrop of an ongoing bull market.

Balance-Sheet Accumulators Approach 5% Supply Milestone

Despite volatile headcounts, dedicated institutional treasury accumulators utilized the dip to reinforce reserves. BitMine Immersion Technologies acquired an additional 8,537 ETH over the preceding week, expanding its aggregate treasury reserve to 6.06 million ETH. This substantial purchase positions the entity roughly 50,000 ETH short of securing an ownership threshold representing 5% of the entire circulating Ethereum supply, reflecting steadfast institutional commitment despite prevailing price consolidation.

Technical Indicators Signal Fragile Base Above $2,200

Technical assessments on the daily chart reflect an ongoing bearish posture, with the price tracking below its 20-, 50-, and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages located at $2,359, $2,415, and $2,346. Live technical observations place the 20-day EMA at $2,356, the 50-day EMA at $2,414, and the 200-day EMA at $2,320, accompanied by a 50-day simple average of $2,511 and a 200-day floor of $2,157.

Oscillators underscore persistent selling momentum. The 14-day Relative Strength Index sits near 33, while the Stochastic oscillator displays a fast measure of 21 against a signal line of 24, confirming that market momentum remains depressed despite recovering slightly from severely oversold conditions. The MACD histogram prints -7.70, with the MACD line at -71.09 trailing its -63.39 signal line, while the Average Directional Index registers 31, confirming an established directional trend.

ETH is currently testing horizontal foundation levels within the $2,204 to $2,256 corridor, aligning closely with the daily pivot mark at $2,264. An inability to defend this territory could open a drop toward secondary support at $2,107, with extended bearish extensions pinpointed at $1,971 and $1,827. Conversely, overhead recovery would confront immediate congestion near $2,355 and the descending moving averages, followed by structural hurdles located at $2,548, $2,636, $2,781, and $3,075.

Cross-Market Headwinds and Declining Risk Appetite

Broader cryptocurrency sentiment remains equally subdued as institutional interest tempers across multiple digital assets. Bitcoin has slipped beneath $78,000, testing structural support along its 100-day EMA following four consecutive weeks of downward trading and weekly ETF redemptions topping $202 million. Heightened political scrutiny surrounding upcoming US midterm congressional races, alongside a drop in the Crypto Fear and Greed Index from 43 to 36, confirms a broad transition into risk-off positioning among market participants.

Questions & Answers

How much did Ethereum decline during the month of October?
Ethereum ended October with a 16.06% loss, halting its three-month positive trajectory.
What was the total monthly net outflow from US spot Ethereum ETFs?
According to SoSoValue data, US spot ETH ETFs recorded a record-breaking $1.61 billion in net outflows throughout October.
How did Thomas Lee evaluate the market reaction to the Binance breach?
Lee noted that despite the exploit being quadruple the size of Bybit's hack, ETH fell only 4%, demonstrating a muted and resilient market reaction.
What is the size of BitMine's current Ethereum treasury holdings?
BitMine added 8,537 ETH last week, elevating its aggregate holdings to 6.06 million ETH, just 50,000 ETH shy of owning 5% of circulating supply.
What are the immediate technical support and resistance levels for ETH?
The immediate support band spans between $2,204 and $2,256, while primary overhead resistance is anchored around $2,355.

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