Euro Sinks Below 178 Against Japanese Yen as Downward Channel PersistsMarket
7 Oct 2026, 10:15 am (43 min ago)· 0

Euro Sinks Below 178 Against Japanese Yen as Downward Channel Persists

The currency cross slipped to around 177.90 during Asian trading after failing to sustain above the nine-day EMA. Technical charts indicate persistent bearish pressure within a descending channel and subdued momentum indicators.

EUR/JPY━SMA20 ━SMA50 · RSI · MACD
Candles + SMA20/50 · RSI(14) · MACD(12,26,9) with buy/sell signals — live from Yahoo

Technical Analysis7 Oct 2026

Moving AveragesEMA 20 / 50 / 200

What it is

Exponential Moving Averages smooth price to reveal the trend over the short (20), medium (50) and long (200) term. Price above them and stacked upward is an uptrend; below them and stacked down is a downtrend.

Where it stands now

EUR/JPY trades at 178 versus EMA20 179, EMA50 181, EMA200 183.

Possible move ahead

Rallies likely stall near EMA20 (179).

RSIRelative Strength Index (14)

What it is

RSI is a 0–100 momentum gauge of recent gains versus losses. Above 70 is overbought (stretched), below 30 oversold (beaten down), and 50 is the neutral line.

Where it stands now

EUR/JPY's RSI is 36.

Possible move ahead

Watch a push above 60 or a slide under 40.

The euro weakened against the Japanese yen during Wednesday's Asian trading session, slipping beneath the 178.00 handle to trade near 177.90. This decline followed modest gains recorded in the preceding session, underscoring persistent selling momentum. Technical analysis on the daily timeframe reveals that the currency pair remains locked inside a descending channel formation, reinforcing an ongoing bearish bias across the board.

Technical Indicators Signal Continued Selling Bias

The pair continues to maintain a defensive stance as spot prices linger below both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). When the shorter-term average remains suppressed beneath the longer-term metric, upward bounces are largely classified as corrective pullbacks rather than directional trend reversals. Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds at 36.36, lingering in depressed territory. This reading confirms that sellers maintain upper-hand dominance despite the tentative stabilization witnessed off recent lows. Live data reflects an RSI near 36 and a bearish MACD reading of -1.21 against its signal line.

Also read

Critical Support and Resistance Zones

On the downside, initial downside cushion emerges at the lower boundary of the falling channel near 176.50. A decisive breakdown below this region would expose the 11-month low of 175.70 recorded in November 2025. Should that confluence support zone give way to sustained liquidations, the market focus could shift toward the deeper 14-month low at 169.72.

Conversely, any corrective upside attempt faces immediate friction at the nine-day EMA of 178.25. Clearing this zone would bring the 50-day EMA at 181.10 into focus. Extended gains would encounter the descending channel's upper barrier around 184.20, beyond which lies the all-time peak of 187.95 established on April 17.

Broader Foreign Exchange and Cross-Asset Dynamics

Performance tracking across major currencies highlighted that the single currency underperformed notably against the US Dollar. Cross-currency valuation grids indicated subdued flows across European assets relative to broader counterparts.

Elsewhere in foreign exchange markets, the Australian dollar struggled to sustain its recent recovery momentum, trading with a soft undertone below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian hours. Despite hawkish policy expectations surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia, renewed gains in US Treasury yields and lingering geopolitical uncertainties spurred dip-buying interest in the greenback. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY cross consolidated near a one-and-a-half-week peak around 158.50, where market participants awaited a clean breach of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). A combination of dovish Bank of Japan communication and rising US yields bolstered that pair.

Precious metals experienced parallel headwinds, with gold giving back its recent rebound to hover near $4,150. Bullion encountered pressure as the US dollar, crude oil prices, and Treasury yields advanced in tandem ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes.

Central Banking Complexities in Europe

Under conventional macroeconomic conditions, the European Central Bank (ECB) would likely respond to inflation running nearly double its target by tightening benchmark policy rates. However, prevailing economic realities diverge from traditional dynamics. The sovereign debt market is already executing a portion of that financial tightening autonomously, presenting the ECB with a delicate policy balancing act. Global investors are now closely monitoring upcoming central bank releases and macroeconomic updates to gauge broader currency trends.

Questions & Answers

What triggered the latest retreat in the EUR/JPY cross?
The pair faced technical rejection at the nine-day EMA and slipped below 178.00 while remaining constrained inside a descending channel.
Where does immediate technical support lie for EUR/JPY?
Initial support is located at the lower channel boundary around 176.50, followed by the 11-month low of 175.70.
What does the 14-day RSI indicate for the currency pair?
The RSI sits at 36.36, lingering in depressed territory and signaling that bearish momentum continues to dominate.
What are the primary upside resistance levels to monitor?
Immediate resistance is positioned at the nine-day EMA of 178.25, with a secondary hurdle at the 50-day EMA near 181.10.
What policy dilemma is the ECB currently navigating?
Despite elevated inflation, independent bond market tightening has complicated the central bank's straightforward interest rate decisions.

Comments 4

Michael Anderson@michael-anderson·5m ago

Dropping below 178 is quite shocking, and with the RSI sitting at 36, it's pretty clear the selling pressure is heavy with no real sign of a rebound anytime soon.

Carlos Mendoza@carlos-mendoza·2m ago

Michael, you're right about the RSI at 36, but do you think the European market will hold the 176.50 support this week or will the drop deepen further?

Ravikash Gupta@ravikash·25m ago

The euro keeps slipping and has now dropped below 178 against the yen. With the RSI looking this weak, is the currency going to slide even further in the coming days?

Rohan Gupta@rohan-gupta·25m ago

@Ravikash Gupta, I get your point, but I feel 176.50 won't break that easily. We might see some recovery soon.

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