United States Revokes Iran Crude Oil Waiver Following Strait of Hormuz Tanker AttacksMarket
8 Jul 2026, 4:11 am (45 days ago)· 2

United States Revokes Iran Crude Oil Waiver Following Strait of Hormuz Tanker Attacks

The US Treasury has revoked the general license for Iranian Crude Oil sales just 19 days after it was granted, following attacks on three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. The move has triggered a sharp rise in global Oil benchmarks.

CLSMA20 SMA50 · RSI · MACD
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Technical Analysis7 Jul 2026

Moving AveragesEMA 20 / 50 / 200

What it is

Exponential Moving Averages smooth price to reveal the trend over the short (20), medium (50) and long (200) term. Price above them and stacked upward is an uptrend; below them and stacked down is a downtrend.

Where it stands now

CL trades at $72.20 versus EMA20 $76.05, EMA50 $83.56, EMA200 $75.92.

Possible move ahead

Rallies likely stall near EMA20 ($76.05).

RSIRelative Strength Index (14)

What it is

RSI is a 0–100 momentum gauge of recent gains versus losses. Above 70 is overbought (stretched), below 30 oversold (beaten down), and 50 is the neutral line.

Where it stands now

CL's RSI is 38.

Possible move ahead

Watch a push above 60 or a slide under 40.

StochasticStochastic Oscillator (14,3)

What it is

The Stochastic compares the close to its recent range. Above 80 is overbought, below 20 oversold; a crossover of the fast line and signal line near those extremes is an early reversal cue.

Where it stands now

CL's fast line / signal line read 35/18.

Possible move ahead

Watch for a cross near 20 or 80.

The United States Treasury Department revoked the general license authorizing Iranian Crude Oil sales on Tuesday, effectively terminating the shortest-lived sanctions relief of the current ceasefire era. This decision came only hours after three tankers were struck while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The action strips Tehran of the largest revenue concession it extracted from last month's talks and puts the entire fourteen-point framework on high alert. The order mandates that all previously authorized transactions be wound down by July 17, a month ahead of the original schedule.

The Timeline of the Revocation

The waiver survived only nineteen days between its issuance and subsequent revocation, providing the market with a stark indicator of how Washington evaluates compliance. The license was originally granted in June under a fourteen-point memorandum of understanding that reopened the Strait of Hormuz and permitted Iranian sales through August 21. American officials have framed this decision in strictly transactional terms, describing the arrangement as performance-based and characterizing Iran's conduct in the strait as intolerable behavior that will carry consequences. While officials claim that negotiators continue working toward a final deal, these statements sit awkwardly alongside the warning from Donald Trump that the United States is prepared to finish the job if no agreement materializes.

Also read

Details of the Strait Attacks

The trigger for this reversal occurred within a single Tuesday window. Three vessels were struck while transiting the corridor along the coast of Oman, an area from which Iranian authorities had explicitly warned shipping to stay away. A Qatari liquefied natural gas carrier was struck by a projectile that ignited its engine room, while a Saudi-flagged supertanker suffered missile damage in the vicinity. Tehran has declined to claim responsibility for these attacks, while state media reported that at least one ship had ignored warnings issued by Iranian forces. The administration has yet to clarify if the restoration of sanctions implies another naval blockade, the mechanism previously used in April to zero out Iranian exports.

Market Reaction and Crude Oil Performance

Crude Oil prices responded to the news with significant volatility. Brent crude surged 5.22% to close at 75.86, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed 5.00% to settle at 72.05, marking its largest single-day advance since early May. Live market data shows WTI Crude Oil currently trading at $72.20. While the bulk of this move occurred shortly after 18:30 GMT, both benchmarks remain well below the triple-digit prints seen during the height of the recent volatility. Investors remain cautious as the situation develops.

Technical Outlook

On the technical front, Tuesday's highs of 76.22 for Brent and 72.33 for WTI act as immediate resistance. Beyond these levels, the 200-day Exponential Moving Averages sit at 81.79 and 77.42 respectively. Support levels are currently identified at 74.00 for Brent and 70.50 for WTI, which serve as the first test of whether this movement represents genuine repricing or a temporary reflex. With an RSI(14) of 38 and a bullish turn in the daily Stochastic index, the market bias remains tilted toward the upside. A potential blockade headline could gap the market higher, whereas a diplomatic breakthrough before the July 18 deadline remains the only visible path for WTI to move back below the 70.00 level.

Questions & Answers

Why did the US revoke the Iran Crude Oil waiver?
Washington revoked the license following attacks on three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, citing concerns over behavior and compliance.
What is the deadline to wind down Oil transactions?
The US Treasury Department has ordered all authorized transactions to be wound down by July 17.
How did the market respond to this decision?
Crude Oil benchmarks saw a sharp spike, with Brent and WTI rising over 5%, marking their largest single-day gain since early May.
Is a naval blockade likely?
The administration has not yet confirmed if a naval blockade will be implemented, a mechanism previously used in April to halt Iranian exports.

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