Even after the completion of Diwali celebrations and entering the second week of November, the onset of severe winter cold in Rajasthan remains delayed. Night temperatures in most parts of the state continue to hover above normal averages, delaying the arrival of intense winter conditions. According to the latest forecast from the Jaipur Meteorological Centre, dry weather will prevail across the entire state on 10 November. No rainfall or strong winds are expected in either eastern or western divisions of Rajasthan. In a comforting development for residents, no weather warnings have been issued for any of the state's districts, offering complete relief from cold waves and unexpected rains.
Eastern Rajasthan Outlook: From Jaipur to Mewar and Hadoti Region
Districts across eastern Rajasthan can expect clear skies and pleasant sunshine on 10 November. In the state capital Jaipur, along with Alwar, Dausa, Sikar, Jhunjhunu, and Ajmer, skies are projected to remain largely clear with bright sunshine during daytime hours. Rain is ruled out across these northern and central areas. Similarly, in the Hadoti belt comprising Kota, Bundi, Baran, and Jhalawar, dry weather conditions will persist throughout the day. Bhilwara and Tonk districts are also expected to experience completely stable weather without any precipitation.
In the eastern border districts of Bharatpur, Dholpur, Karauli, and Sawai Madhopur, atmospheric conditions will remain calm, with no weather alerts in force. Meanwhile, the southern region covering Udaipur, Chittorgarh, Dungarpur, Banswara, Rajsamand, and Pratapgarh will witness standard dry weather. Residents across these eastern districts will experience mild warmth during daytime hours followed by light coolness late at night.
Western Rajasthan Conditions: Daytime Warmth Persists in Barmer and Jaisalmer
The desert terrain of western Rajasthan will also remain free from rain on 10 November. Districts including Bikaner, Sri Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, and Jodhpur are set to experience dry and clear atmospheric conditions. Border areas such as Jaisalmer and Barmer will see cloudless skies, allowing daytime temperatures to remain noticeably high.
Furthermore, no weather warnings have been issued for Nagaur, Pali, Jalore, Phalodi, Balotra, or Didwana-Kuchaman. Clear skies and strong sunshine during the afternoon will keep conditions relatively warm across these western districts. Notably, desert locations such as Barmer and Jaisalmer continue to register higher daytime maximum temperatures compared to the rest of the state.
Why Cold Weather Remains Mild: Analysis of Temperature Trends
The main factor delaying intense winter conditions across Rajasthan well into November is the elevated level of both minimum and maximum temperatures. Temperature analysis reveals that minimum night temperatures across most parts of the state are running 1 to 3 degrees Celsius above normal averages. Simultaneously, maximum daytime temperatures remain 1 to 2 degrees Celsius above seasonal norms.
Examining recent plains data, Sikar recorded a minimum temperature of 13.5 degrees Celsius. Sirohi registered a low of 13.8 degrees Celsius, while Fatehpur logged 14.1 degrees Celsius. In Bhilwara, night temperatures dropped to 14.4 degrees Celsius. Even at Mount Abu, the state's sole hill station, the minimum temperature stood at 12.3 degrees Celsius, which is relatively moderate for this period of the year.
Western Disturbance in the Himalayas and the 4-Day Forecast
According to synoptic features detailed by meteorologists, a fresh Western Disturbance is expected to affect the Western Himalayan region starting 10 November. However, this weather system will have no direct rainfall impact on the plains of Rajasthan. Consequently, weather conditions in both eastern and western divisions will remain dry, with zero rain alerts across the state.
Meteorologists indicate that no major shift in temperature is likely over the next 3 to 4 days. This implies that Rajasthan will not see a sudden onset of severe cold or a sharp drop in night temperatures in the immediate future. Mornings and late nights will feature a pleasant, light chill, while afternoon sunshine will keep the daytime atmosphere comfortable to slightly warm.
Specific Forecast for 5 Major Districts
Jaipur: The state capital will see completely dry weather on 10 November. No rain is anticipated, with clear skies and sunshine expected throughout the day. No weather warnings are active for the district.
Sikar: Dry weather will prevail in Sikar district. Recent readings recorded a minimum temperature of 13.5 degrees Celsius, offering light coolness during early mornings and late nights.
Kota: Kota will remain dry with no chance of rainfall on 10 November. Weather conditions are set to remain clear and stable, with no alerts issued.
Jodhpur: Jodhpur will experience dry conditions without any rain forecast. Recent figures showed a maximum temperature of 35.9 degrees Celsius, keeping daytime conditions moderately warm.
Barmer: Dry weather will continue in Barmer. Recent data logged a maximum temperature of 37.6 degrees Celsius here, the highest recorded across the state, leading to warm afternoon conditions.
