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MCX Gold Slides ₹615 as Fed Rate Fears and US-Iran Tensions Push Precious Metals LowerMarket
1 hour ago· 3

MCX Gold Slides ₹615 as Fed Rate Fears and US-Iran Tensions Push Precious Metals Lower

Gold on MCX fell ₹615 to ₹1,43,547 per 10 grams on June 29 and silver dropped ₹1,203 to ₹2,20,201 per kilogram, with the US Federal Reserve's prolonged high-rate outlook and a strengthening dollar keeping both metals under sustained selling pressure for a second consecutive week.

Amit PatelAmit PatelBusiness Correspondent 3 min read For AI
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Precious metals faced another wave of selling on June 29, with both gold and silver slipping on the MCX. Gold dropped ₹615 to ₹1,43,547 per 10 grams, while silver tumbled ₹1,203 to ₹2,20,201 per kilogram. Both metals have now logged losses for two weeks in a row, reflecting a broader pressure on the commodity segment.

The Gap From the Previous Close

On June 22, gold had closed at ₹1,44,162 and silver at ₹2,21,404. The sharp losses on June 29 pulled both metals well below those levels. The fact that selling has continued across multiple sessions suggests this is more than a brief correction; it points to a sustained directional shift driven by larger macroeconomic forces.

What Is Driving the Decline

Two primary forces are responsible for today's drop. First, escalating military tensions between the United States and Iran have sent crude oil prices sharply higher, creating ripple effects across commodity markets that have dragged precious metals lower in tandem. Second, and more directly impactful for gold, expectations that the US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for a prolonged period continue to weigh heavily on the metal. Because gold generates no interest income, it loses its relative appeal when borrowing costs are high and investors can earn steady returns from bonds or fixed deposits instead, leading them to trim their gold exposure.

What an Expert Has to Say

Jatin Trivedi, Vice President (Research - Commodity and Currency) at LKP Securities, noted that gold was under sustained selling pressure throughout the previous week, with prices finishing roughly 2% lower by week's end. He pointed to the strength of the US dollar as the primary culprit, explaining that a stronger dollar kept continuous selling pressure on precious metals broadly, resulting in a second consecutive weekly decline for both gold and silver.

A Rush to Offload Old Gold

Across India, a notable behavioural shift has taken hold among gold holders. People are liquidating their old gold jewellery at an accelerating pace. The widespread rationale is that many investors and households now believe gold prices have reached their peak and are likely to head lower from here. Rather than hold on and risk a further erosion in value, sellers are choosing to cash out while valuations remain elevated, treating the current price level as an opportune exit point.

IBJA Data Confirms the Surge in Selling

Figures from the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA) put this trend in concrete terms. During the April to June quarter, around 50 tonnes of old gold was sold across the country. That figure is 43% higher than what was recorded in the same quarter last year, making clear that the appetite to liquidate existing gold holdings has grown sharply. The scale of the sell-off reflects how widely held the view has become that current prices represent a near-term high-water mark.

Gold Loans Coming Under Strain

The sustained decline in gold prices over the past five months is now creating problems for gold loan borrowers as well. The group most exposed is those who took out bullet repayment gold loans, where the entire principal along with accrued interest is settled in a single payment at the end of the loan term. As the market value of pledged gold continues to fall, these borrowers are receiving margin calls because their collateral no longer adequately covers the outstanding loan amount. Customers who repay their gold loans through regular monthly EMI instalments are, for the moment, facing comparatively less pressure from this situation.

How Far Gold Has Fallen From Its January Peak

Domestic gold prices have now declined roughly 22% from the record high they touched in the final week of January. An earlier pullback of about 15% had already played out in March during a period of heightened tension in West Asia. Prices found a degree of stability after that episode and traded within a relatively narrow band for a time. However, once signals emerged that the US Federal Reserve intends to keep interest rates higher for an extended period, fresh selling resumed and has since dragged prices steadily lower.

What this means for you

  • For gold investors: With domestic gold prices now around 22% below the January record, existing holders should review their positions carefully as prolonged high US interest rates continue to create downward pressure on the metal.
  • For gold loan borrowers: Those with bullet repayment gold loans face an elevated risk of margin calls as collateral values shrink; checking your current loan-to-value position with your lender is advisable without delay.
  • For potential buyers: Continued pressure from a strong US dollar and Federal Reserve rate signals could keep gold prices subdued, which may appeal to long-term buyers but carries meaningful near-term uncertainty.

Questions & Answers

What was the gold price on MCX on June 29?
Gold on MCX fell ₹615 to ₹1,43,547 per 10 grams.
By how much did silver fall on June 29?
Silver dropped ₹1,203 to ₹2,20,201 per kilogram on MCX.
Why are gold and silver prices falling?
Escalating US-Iran military tensions pushed crude oil higher, while a strengthening US dollar and expectations of prolonged high interest rates from the Federal Reserve are pressing down on precious metals.
By how much did gold fall last week?
According to Jatin Trivedi of LKP Securities, gold prices fell roughly 2% over the course of the previous week.
How much old gold was sold in the April-June quarter?
Around 50 tonnes of old gold was sold across India during the April to June quarter, which is 43% more than the same period last year, according to IBJA data.
How far has gold fallen from its January record?
Gold prices in the domestic market have declined roughly 22% from the record high they touched in the last week of January.
What is happening to borrowers with bullet repayment gold loans?
These borrowers are facing margin calls as the value of their pledged gold has fallen; customers on regular monthly EMI plans are comparatively less affected for now.
How much did gold fall during the West Asia tensions in March?
Gold fell approximately 15% during the period of heightened tensions in West Asia in March.
Amit Patel
About the authorAmit PatelBusiness Correspondent
ExpertiseBusiness News, Financial Markets, Stock Market Analysis, Corporate Affairs, Startups, Entrepreneurship, Economic Trends, Technology Business, Investments, Global Economy

Amit Patel is a Business Correspondent covering global markets, finance, startups, technology, and economic trends. He delivers timely news, market analysis, and insights into the businesses and industries shaping the modern economy.

Amit Patel is a Business Correspondent covering global markets, finance, entrepreneurship, technology, and economic developments. He reports on breaking business news, corporate strategies, stock market trends, startup ecosystems, and industry innovations that shape the global economy. With a focus on accuracy, clarity, and in-depth analysis, Amit helps readers understand complex business topics and their real-world impact. His coverage spans financial markets, multinational corporations, emerging industries, economic policy, investment trends, and digital transformation. Through data-driven reporting and insightful analysis, Amit delivers timely business news and expert perspectives for professionals, investors, entrepreneurs, and general readers alike.

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#Market#GoldPrice#SilverPrice#MCXGoldPrice#GoldLoan#IBJA#FederalReserve#OldGoldSales#CommodityMarket

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