According to the Meteorological Center in Jaipur, weather conditions across Rajasthan are undergoing noticeable shifts due to the influence of an active western disturbance. On November 15, cloudy skies accompanied by light rain and drizzle are expected in isolated pockets across the western and northern parts of the state. This weather system is likely to impact the Bikaner division, northern areas of the Ajmer and Jaipur divisions, and the Shekhawati region. Authorities have warned that these areas may also witness thunderous clouds and lightning strikes, prompting local advisories for residents.
Gusty Winds and Stormy Spells
The weather department forecasts that gusty winds blowing at speeds ranging from 30 to 40 kilometers per hour will sweep through the affected regions during this period. In certain isolated spots, wind gusts could potentially touch speeds of up to 50 kilometers per hour. However, because the impact of this western disturbance remains relatively localized, the majority of the state will continue to experience largely dry weather conditions. A special weather warning has been issued for 14 specific districts on November 15, highlighting the likelihood of rainfall and lightning. Prior to this, western Rajasthan recorded very light rainfall accompanied by thunder in a few pockets, while the rest of the state remained dry, with Chitorgarh recording the state's highest maximum temperature at 36 degrees Celsius.
District-Wise Rainfall Projections
Driven by the western disturbance, parts of the Bikaner andodhpur divisions are expected to receive light showers or scattered drizzle on November 15. Forecast models indicate that areas in Sri Ganganagar, Hanumanhgarh, Bikaner, Churu, Phalodi, and Nagaur are likely to experience precipitation. Additionally, districts in eastern Rajasthan including Jhunjhunu, Sikar, Khairthal-Tijara, and Kotputli-Behror may also witness weather changes accompanied by thunder. Detailed forecasts suggest that thunder, lightning, and 30 to 40 km/h winds will sweep across Bikaner, Churu, Didwana-Kuchaman, Hanumanhgarh,odhpur, Nagaur, Phalodi, Jhunjhunu, Jalore, and Sikar. It is important to note that widespread heavy rainfall is not anticipated across entire districts, but rather isolated spells of light rain.
Temperature Drop Expected From November 16
As the influence of the western disturbance begins to wane, winter conditions are projected to intensify across Rajasthan. Weather experts state that the weather will remain predominantly dry across the state for four to five days starting November 16. During this timeframe, both minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to drop by 2 to 4 degrees Celsius. This downward trend in temperature will heighten the chill during early morning and late night hours, while also cutting down the daytime warmth that currently prevails in various parts of the region.
Lightning Warnings Issued for 14 Districts
The 14 districts placed under special watch for November 15 face potential risks of lightning alongside intermittent rain, though heavy downpours are not predicted anywhere in the state. Because the weather system's reach is limited, dry conditions will persist across most areas. Looking at the current temperature extremes, Fatehpur in Sikar recorded a low of 10.8 degrees Celsius, while Sikar city registered a night temperature of 10.9 degrees. Minimum temperatures settled at 13.8 degrees in Bhilwara and Nagaur, 13.4 degrees in Chitorgarh, and 14.1 degrees in Sirohi.
Contrasting Day and Night Temperatures
A distinct contrast currently exists between daytime and nighttime temperatures across Rajasthan. Nights have turned genuinely chilly in the Shekhawati region, whereas daytime heat remains palpable in several western cities. Barmer emerged as the hottest location during the day, recording a maximum temperature of 37.8 degrees Celsius. Jaisalmer registered a daytime high of 35.8 degrees,odhpur touched 35.5 degrees, and Chitorgarh held steady at 36 degrees. As temperatures begin their anticipated slide in the coming days, the winter chill is set to tighten its grip uniformly across the state.
