Crypto Market Pullback Drives XRP and Stellar Lower as Key Supports Face TestCrypto
28 Jul 2026, 1:05 pm (65 days ago)· 1

Crypto Market Pullback Drives XRP and Stellar Lower as Key Supports Face Test

XRP and Stellar suffer sharp declines alongside broader market weakness, with technical indicators and macro liquidity fears pointing to continued downward pressure.

XRP━SMA20 ━SMA50 · RSI · MACD
Candles + SMA20/50 · RSI(14) · MACD(12,26,9) with buy/sell signals — live from Yahoo

Technical Analysis28 Jul 2026

Moving AveragesEMA 20 / 50 / 200

What it is

Exponential Moving Averages smooth price to reveal the trend over the short (20), medium (50) and long (200) term. Price above them and stacked upward is an uptrend; below them and stacked down is a downtrend.

Where it stands now

XRP trades at $1.06 versus EMA20 $1.10, EMA50 $1.13, EMA200 $1.46.

Possible move ahead

Rallies likely stall near EMA20 ($1.10).

RSIRelative Strength Index (14)

What it is

RSI is a 0–100 momentum gauge of recent gains versus losses. Above 70 is overbought (stretched), below 30 oversold (beaten down), and 50 is the neutral line.

Where it stands now

XRP's RSI is 40.

Possible move ahead

Watch a push above 60 or a slide under 40.

MACDMoving Avg Convergence/Divergence

What it is

MACD tracks the gap between a fast and a slow moving average; its signal line and histogram show momentum building or fading. The line above its signal is bullish, below is bearish.

Where it stands now

XRP's MACD line is below its signal.

Possible move ahead

The next signal-line crossover is the trigger to watch.

A renewed wave of selling pressure has swept across the cryptocurrency market, pulling major altcoins lower over recent trading sessions. Both Ripple's native token XRP and Stellar's XLM have registered notable pullbacks, impacted by degrading momentum metrics, negative derivatives positioning, and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. Market risk appetite has turned cautious following observations from Citadel Securities regarding potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Such monetary tightening threatens to curtail systemic liquidity, directly weighing on high-risk speculative assets across the digital ecosystem.

Technical Breakdown and Key Resistance Boundaries for XRP

Following a single-day decline exceeding 4 percent, XRP is currently hovering in the $1.05 to $1.06 trading range. The short-term bias remains predominantly bearish as price action stays pinned below major Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The 50-day EMA sits at $1.13, the 100-day EMA rests near $1.21, and the long-term 200-day EMA is positioned at $1.42. The alignment of these moving averages above current spot prices establishes a dense overhead ceiling that limits immediate recovery prospects.

Also read

Oscillators further reinforce this downside momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the 39 to 40 region, confirming that seller momentum remains intact without reaching deeply oversold extremes. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to sit fractionally below its zero line. On the upside, initial resistance lies at the 50-day EMA around $1.13, followed by $1.22 and a horizontal price barrier at $1.30. Should a stronger bounce materialize, the 200-day EMA at $1.42 and the $1.90 level represent distant overhead targets. On the downside, buyers are looking to defend the critical structural and psychological support zone at $1.00 to preserve the multi-month trend.

Stellar (XLM) Price Pressure and Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Stellar has similarly faced aggressive selling, dipping over 5 percent at the start of the week to trade around $0.172. The asset is encountering substantial technical friction from cluster resistance overhead. The 100-day EMA at $0.186, the 50-day EMA at $0.187, and the 200-day EMA at $0.196 together form a formidable barrier that has repeatedly capped upside attempts.

Upside hurdles begin immediately at the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level of $0.173, closely followed by horizontal resistance at $0.177. Beyond this immediate band, the 50-day and 100-day EMAs create an intermediate ceiling ahead of the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement at $0.200. Conversely, downside protection for XLM is mapped near the previous structural floor of $0.142. Just beneath this level sits the primary cycle low anchor near $0.139. A decisive daily closing bar below $0.139 would invalidate interim stabilization attempts and potentially trigger a deeper corrective phase.

Macroeconomic Factors and Widespread Market Liquidations

The slide in XRP and XLM mirrors weakness in the broader crypto space, where major assets including Cardano and Solana are trading firmly in the red. Escalating market volatility triggered roughly $600 million in total derivatives liquidations over a 24-hour window, forcing leveraged long positions out of the market. Bitcoin also added to downside pressure by sliding over 2 percent, while assets like Shiba Inu and the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance emerged as some of the steepest daily decliners.

Derivatives data highlights a persistent short bias, signaling that institutional and retail market participants remain guarded. Macro factors play a substantial role in this sentiment shift, specifically expectations that tighter monetary policies could persist longer than anticipated. With liquidity conditions tightening across financial markets, high-beta crypto assets remain particularly exposed to continued structural corrections until solid technical floors are established.

Questions & Answers

What is the current price of XRP and how much has it fallen?
XRP is trading around $1.05 to $1.06 after dropping over 4 percent in recent trading.
What are the critical resistance and support levels for XRP?
XRP faces initial resistance at $1.13 and $1.22, while the $1.00 price mark serves as its key psychological support.
How much has Stellar (XLM) dropped?
Stellar (XLM) declined over 5 percent, bringing its price down to around $0.172.
What factors are driving the current crypto market weakness?
Deteriorating technical momentum, nearly $600 million in derivative liquidations, and Fed rate hike concerns raised by Citadel Securities are driving the pullback.

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