A severe weather system that gathered strength over the Bay of Bengal has crossed the coast between northern Andhra Pradesh and southern Odisha. The India Meteorological Department confirmed that the deep depression advanced in a north-westerly direction at a pace of roughly 5 kmph, navigating landfall near Kalingapatnam, located between Visakhapatnam and Gopalpur. The entire landfall process was expected to last for about two hours. Forecasters cautioned that the system would maintain its full intensity as a deep depression for another 12 hours after crossing the shoreline, after which it is projected to move north-northwest and weaken steadily.
Potential Cyclone Arnab and Severe Alerts
Had this low-pressure system intensified further into a full-scale cyclonic storm before striking land, it would have been named Cyclone Arnab. Given the scale of precipitation and wind intensity packed by the deep depression, emergency departments placed multiple vulnerable districts across Odisha and Andhra Pradesh under a strict red alert. Heavy downpours, strong surface winds, and sudden flash floods pose direct threats in Koraput, Malkangiri, Kalahandi, and Nabarangpur, prompting relief and rescue personnel to shift to round-the-clock operational readiness.
Emergency Response and Administrative Measures
Addressing the escalating situation, Andhra Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu convened an emergency review meeting with senior bureaucrats and district authorities. Naidu issued firm instructions to shift thousands of residents living in low-lying tracts to safer emergency shelters without delay, alongside announcing the immediate closure of schools across endangered zones. The Chief Minister ordered district collectors to remain present in the field to manage emergency rescue operations and mitigate the fallout from sudden flooding. Odisha is likewise anticipated to bear severe impacts, with several districts bracing for rainfall ranging from very heavy to extremely heavy.
Monsoon Distribution Trends and Deficit Data
Alongside coastal storm developments, an assessment from Dolat Capital projected that as the monsoon withdraws from northwest India, eastern and central parts of the country will receive the bulk of precipitation during the closing weeks of the season. The evaluation highlighted that the impact of El Nino has intensified considerably, carrying the potential to persist until 2027. Despite broader challenges, recent rainfall provided measurable relief to regional moisture deficits across key zones.
Eastern and north-eastern India witnessed the most tangible recovery, with regional seasonal deficit dropping from 29 percent recorded the preceding week to 27 percent. The southern peninsula similarly noted a slight positive shift as its rain deficiency softened from 28 percent to 26 percent. In central India, the shortfall remained broadly static at 6 percent, whereas north-west India faced a slight worsening as its rainfall deficit expanded from 9 percent to 10 percent. Nationally, the overall monsoon deficit held firm at -15%, arresting a prior run of deteriorating deficits across Indian agricultural zones.


















