British Pound softens to near 1.3550 on geopolitical tensions and hawkish Fed betsMarket
1 Sept 2026, 7:50 am (56 min ago)· 2

British Pound softens to near 1.3550 on geopolitical tensions and hawkish Fed bets

The British Pound traded softer near 1.3550 during early Asian trade as Middle East tensions escalated and traders priced in a hawkish Federal Reserve rate path.

GBP/USDSMA20 SMA50 · RSI · MACD
Candles + SMA20/50 · RSI(14) · MACD(12,26,9) with buy/sell signals — live from Yahoo

Technical Analysis1 Sep 2026

Moving AveragesEMA 20 / 50 / 200

What it is

Exponential Moving Averages smooth price to reveal the trend over the short (20), medium (50) and long (200) term. Price above them and stacked upward is an uptrend; below them and stacked down is a downtrend.

Where it stands now

GBP/USD trades at 1.35 versus EMA20 1.35, EMA50 1.35, EMA200 1.34.

Possible move ahead

A close above EMA50 (1.35) opens upside; losing EMA200 (1.34) opens downside.

RSIRelative Strength Index (14)

What it is

RSI is a 0–100 momentum gauge of recent gains versus losses. Above 70 is overbought (stretched), below 30 oversold (beaten down), and 50 is the neutral line.

Where it stands now

GBP/USD's RSI is 53.

Possible move ahead

Watch a push above 60 or a slide under 40.

Bollinger Bands20-period, 2 std-dev

What it is

Bollinger Bands wrap price in an envelope two standard deviations around its 20-day average. The upper band flags an overextended move, the lower an oversold one; the middle band is the trend pivot.

Where it stands now

GBP/USD band range 1.34–1.37.

Possible move ahead

Reclaiming the mid-band (1.35) tilts momentum up.

The British Pound witnessed selling pressure during the early Asian session, retreating toward the 1.3550 region. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and hawkish commentary from the US central bank have driven safe-haven flows toward the Greenback, weighing heavily on the major currency pair.

Market participants are closely monitoring developments after US President Donald Trump warned of a forceful response following an exchange of fire between US and Iranian forces. Meanwhile, Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated it targeted US military bases in response to recent strikes. Compounding the regional instability, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations reported that a tanker was struck by three projectiles while exiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Also read

Adding to currency market pressures, Federal Reserve leadership recently emphasized that inflation is not slowing down rapidly enough, signaling that additional policy tightening may be required. This commentary has prompted traders to scale up expectations for a potential September rate hike.

Traders are now bracing for key economic releases, including the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index report and upcoming employment figures. A weaker-than-expected labor report could potentially drag the US Dollar lower in the near term.

On the daily chart, GBP/USD trades near 1.3546, maintaining a mild bullish bias while holding above the 100-day simple moving average at 1.3444 and the lower Bollinger Band at 1.3433. The spot price is currently pressing against the middle Bollinger band at 1.3550, serving as an immediate resistance hurdle, while the Relative Strength Index sits at 53.3, pointing toward steady upside momentum.

Initial resistance on the topside stands near the 20-period SMA at 1.3550, followed by the upper Bollinger Band around 1.3668. On the downside, immediate support emerges at the 100-day SMA at 1.3444, with further cushioned support expected near the lower Bollinger Band at 1.3433.

Concurrently, other markets have experienced notable volatility. The EUR/USD pair managed to climb past the 1.1600 threshold, reversing some of its previous losses amid softer US Dollar momentum. Gold prices attempted to build on overnight bounces from sub-$4,400 levels, while West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices hovered around $85.60 per barrel as supply disruption fears persisted.

Questions & Answers

Why are geopolitical tensions rising in the Middle East?
Tensions escalated following armed exchanges between US and Iranian forces and an incident involving a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz.
How has the Federal Reserve's stance impacted traders?
Hawkish comments regarding persistent inflation have led traders to reprice expectations for future interest rate paths.
What upcoming US economic data are markets watching?
Traders are closely awaiting the ISM Manufacturing PMI report and upcoming US employment data.
What are the key technical support levels for GBP/USD?
Initial support emerges near the 100-day simple moving average at 1.3444, followed by the lower Bollinger Band at 1.3433.

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