Following the retreat of the southwest monsoon and the advent of early winter chills, atmospheric systems have triggered widespread instability across the subcontinent. Successive tropical weather events, led initially by Cyclone Arnab and subsequently sustained by Cyclone Murasu, have generated turbulent weather across multiple geographical zones. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has sounded alerts for November 4 spanning 19 states, covering Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and several Himalayan pockets. The sharpest disruptions are forecasted over Rajasthan and Uttarakhand, where severe windstorms accompanied by localized hail are likely to disrupt routine activities.
Severe Gales Across Uttarakhand and Rajasthan
Meteorological projections point toward hazardous atmospheric velocities across the north and north-west belts. In Rajasthan, surface squalls are expected to range between 60 and 70 kilometers per hour, carrying the risk of dust storms that could significantly diminish road visibility. Concurrently, the valleys and mountain ridges of Uttarakhand could experience wind gusts accelerating up to 80 kilometers per hour. Coupled with forecasts of hailstorms in specific sectors, the incoming system is poised to deliver far more than light precipitation, raising concerns over transport disruptions and physical safety in vulnerable settlements.
Cyclone Murasu Impinges on the Eastern and Southern Seaboard
Turbulence over the Bay of Bengal tied to a well-marked cyclonic vortex and the progression of Cyclone Murasu continues to buffet India's eastern and southern coastline. Following landfall along the shores of Andhra Pradesh, severe squalls and heavy downpours have battered multiple localities. In adjacent Odisha, disaster management authorities initiated proactive safety interventions well in advance, orchestrating the evacuation of more than 160,000 residents from southern sectors to secure transit centers. Coastal activity remains restricted as maritime conditions continue to pose substantial hazards.
Delhi and the National Capital Region
The national capital region is slated for moderate meteorological fluctuation on November 4. Cloud bands hovering over Delhi are expected to yield isolated light showers and brief thunderstorm spells. Local winds are anticipated to maintain speeds between 20 and 25 kilometers per hour across urban sectors. Thermal recordings for the capital project a daytime high near 30 degrees Celsius, while nocturnal readings are likely to settle around 17 degrees Celsius. Although severe rainfall warnings have not been placed on the metropolis, travelers and commuters are urged to track short-range local updates.
Extensive Alert Across Uttar Pradesh Districts
Precautionary advisories have been declared across more than 25 districts of Uttar Pradesh facing imminent squalls and precipitation. In the eastern belt, districts including Gorakhpur, Sonbhadra, Ghazipur, Chandauli, Ballia, Kushinagar, and Deoria are exposed to worsening conditions. Simultaneously, the western corridor encompassing Bijnor, Moradabad, Meerut, Ghaziabad, and Muzaffarnagar is expected to experience sudden thunderstorms. The alert footprint extends across central and southern districts as well, encompassing Agra, Mathura, Kanpur, Hardoi, Farrukhabad, Sitapur, Shahjahanpur, Budaun, Rampur, Pilibhit, Barabanki, Unnao, and Firozabad. Wind speeds in these zones could reach 50 to 60 kilometers per hour, with the state capital Lucknow recording temperatures around 31 degrees Celsius at peak and 18 degrees Celsius overnight.
Widespread Disruptions Expected Throughout Bihar
Nineteen districts across Bihar are bracing for sudden shifts in weather patterns on November 4. The alert zone covers central and western regions such as Patna, Gaya, Buxar, Siwan, Saran, Bhojpur, and Vaishali, where thunderstorms will likely be accompanied by forceful gusts. Northern districts including Muzaffarpur, Samastipur, Darbhanga, and Madhubani face comparable shifts, alongside eastern territories like Purnia, Kishanganj, Katihar, Begusarai, Bhagalpur, Munger, Khagaria, and Lakhisarai. Sustained wind gusts within these districts could oscillate between 40 and 50 kilometers per hour, with Patna recording a daytime maximum of 30 degrees Celsius and a nighttime low of 19 degrees Celsius.
Prolonged System Over Jharkhand with Hail Risks
Adverse conditions are anticipated to linger across Jharkhand through November 4 and 5. Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning are slated across a broad district cluster including Ranchi, Sahibganj, Dumka, Dhanbad, Giridih, Bokaro, Saraikela, Palamu, and East Singhbhum. Surface gusts between 30 and 40 kilometers per hour may sweep across several pockets, with localized hailstorms presenting risks to agriculture and open structures. In Ranchi, daytime highs are projected around 27 degrees Celsius, dipping to 18 degrees Celsius after nightfall.
Turbulence and Coastal Winds in West Bengal
The lingering marine disturbance in the Bay of Bengal continues to alter weather parameters across West Bengal. Rain bands are predicted over Malda, Birbhum, Howrah, Kolkata, Darjeeling, Nadia, Durgapur, Kalimpong, Purulia, and Murshidabad. Gale-force winds reaching between 60 and 70 kilometers per hour are expected to sweep across several districts. Kolkata is likely to observe a maximum temperature near 30 degrees Celsius alongside a minimum of 23 degrees Celsius. Civil authorities have instructed residents to maintain distance from large trees, transmission towers, and insecure architectural structures during squall intervals.
Conditions in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Punjab
Desert sectors in Rajasthan including Jaipur, Jhunjhunu, Ajmer, Sikar, Sawai Madhopur, Churu, Tonk, Bikaner, Bundi, Chittorgarh, and Bharatpur are braced for squalls of 60 to 70 kilometers per hour, with Jaipur observing temperatures between 18 and 31 degrees Celsius. In Madhya Pradesh, districts across eastern and western tracts such as Chhatarpur, Damoh, Umaria, Singrauli, Shivpuri, Katni, Betul, Khandwa, Indore, Narmadapuram, Raisen, Morena, Dhar, Harda, and Ujjain face lightning hazards and localized downpours, while Bhopal settles between 17 and 29 degrees Celsius. Punjab districts including Amritsar, Mansa, Ludhiana, Jalandhar, and Patiala are similarly placed under elevated watch for incoming rain and brisk gusts.
